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Quant Doerr Scoring

A reader of my venture scoring blog wanted me to start a thread about Quant Doerr.

Well, its a proprietary stat regression analysis of past venture successes, and essentially I am trying to predict and score early stage venture funded companies. I have setup a virtual fund which has invested in over 10 deals since last October.

This prediction model hopes to be a tool to assist VCs, LPs, and possibly new entrepreneurs about to start their own companies.

That's about it really. Stay tuned to my blog and eventually my virtual track record.

Cheers,
Jeff
www.belikedoerr.com

Votes:: 1

Submitted:

Jul 1, 2008

Submitter:

jpaine (blog)

Last Comment:

1 year ago by jpaine

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Comments (10)

1. fshnchps wrote at 4:25pm on Jul 1, 2008:

This is a very intriguing project - keep us updated with any big developments!

2. winnyk wrote at 1:53am on Jul 2, 2008:

That's a pretty cool idea. How does one find out the QD score for startups?

3. jpaine (blog) wrote at 3:02am on Jul 2, 2008:

Unfortunately it is not available as yet, as I am still finetuning the algorithms. I will try to get the alpha out asap.

4. zdravko wrote at 4:44pm on Jul 2, 2008:

And what is wrong with the Startup Battle as a predictions tool ;?)

5. grantw wrote at 8:44pm on Jul 2, 2008:

ambitious project - looking forward to the alpha

6. zdravko wrote at 9:01pm on Jul 2, 2008:

Established companies issue vast amounts of quarterly performance data and yet, predicting their future stock prices is still more voodoo art then science. Therefore, making even slightest sense of skimpy startup data, would indeed be a major accomplishment. Good luck and congratulations for having enough nerve and smarts to even try.

7. jpaine (blog) wrote at 9:10pm on Jul 2, 2008:

Zdravko- Startup Battle is a good prediction tool based mostly on crowd sourcing. But crowd sourcing has human intuition built into it. I believe a portion of Startup Battle's data can definitely be included into the model.

8. jpaine (blog) wrote at 9:13pm on Jul 2, 2008:

Thanks for the encouragement Zdravko! It is indeed a challenge to say to people I can quantify what you do. Whether they are doctors or loan officers, its no joke hearing such quant models can eventually replace their primary job functions.
But it is just a simple experiment for me to see if the result can indeed be a useful support tool to aid investors and entrepreneurs, just like how movies are being predicted now.

9. startupman wrote at 2:25pm on Jul 7, 2008: